Die Bitcoin-Volatilität ist nicht auf dem gleichen Niveau wie während des Bullenlaufs 2017, aber Analysten sagen immer noch, dass geringere Preisschwankungen notwendig sind, um die Aufwärtsdynamik zu erhalten.

Bitcoin hat einen neuen Höchststand über $51,300

Bitcoin (BTC) hat einen neuen Höchststand über $51,300 in einer Fortsetzung der Hausse, die im Oktober 2020 begann, erreicht.

Laut Bloomberg, der aktuelle Lauf ist anders als die 2017 Bullenrallye, die unter $20,000 in Bezug auf die Volatilität getoppt.

Tatsächlich zeigen die Daten von Woobull Charts, dass die 60-Tage-Volatilität von Bitcoin bei 14,25% liegt, ein signifikanter Rückgang gegenüber den über 32%, die auf dem Höhepunkt der Hausse von 2017 verzeichnet wurden.

In Bezug auf die realisierte Volatilität sind die Preisschwankungen von Bitcoin jedoch immer noch um Größenordnungen höher als bei Gold. Daten des Krypto-Analytik-Anbieters Skew beziffern die aktuelle realisierte dreimonatige Volatilität von Bitcoin auf 90% – mehr als das Fünffache der tatsächlichen Preisbewegung für Gold, wie von JP Morgan-Analysten berichtet.

In einer Notiz an Investoren argumentierten die Analysten von JP Morgan, dass die aktuelle Preisrallye von Bitcoin nicht nachhaltig ist, solange die Volatilität nicht signifikant abnimmt. Ein Teil dieser Einschätzung kommt wahrscheinlich von der Achterbahnfahrt im Januar, als BTC um 46% stieg und fast $42.000 erreichte, bevor er um über 30% fiel und unter die Marke von $30.000 fiel.

Bitcoin-Preisausschläge sind nur vorübergehend

Für Bloomberg-Stratege Mike McGlone sind die aktuellen Bitcoin-Preisausschläge nur vorübergehend, da sich der Markt wieder beruhigen dürfte. Laut McGlone wird die wachsende institutionelle BTC-Annahme die Volatilität von Bitcoin sogar unter die von Gold drücken.

Tesla kündigte kürzlich einen 1,5 Milliarden Dollar schweren Bitcoin-Kauf an, während die Business Intelligence Firma MicroStrategy ihren BTC-Besitz weiter ausbaut.

Anfang Februar gab die US-Kryptobörse Kraken einen Bericht heraus, in dem sie vorhersagte, dass der weitere Aufstieg von Bitcoin von einer geringeren Volatilität begleitet sein wird.

Laut Peter Brandt, Bitcoin ist in noch einem anderen parabolischen Aufstieg mit der größten Krypto nach Marktkapitalisierung Druck über 75% in Jahr-to-date Gewinne bisher.

Use of blockchain technology, smart contracts, data security, cost reduction, resilience … A real magnet and engine of innovation, there are many qualities of decentralized storage. Used in addition to traditional storage, it can be a relevant solution for individuals and businesses.

Towards decentralization of data storage

Attractive in its simplicity, centralized online storage is used extensively by businesses , organizations and individuals. The hundreds of petabytes (1 petabyte = 1024 terabytes) of data passing through it are rarely encrypted.

Their accessibility is conditioned by the proper functioning and the good will of the operator who stores them. They are collected in Data Centers , veritable data factories which are subject to various risks that could affect their security and sustainability:

To reduce these risks, one solution is to increase the number of data centers. However, this only decentralizes the data storage from a geographical point of view. This always remains centralized , because it also remains in the hands of a limited number of actors.

Even if the French Orange Business Services, Scaleway, 3DS Outscale or OVH offer efficient solutions, the online data storage is for the most part managed by a predominantly American oligopoly (Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Dropbox, Facebook, Microsoft, Oracle ,…).

This involves risks of compromise , freedom of expression (censorship), legal and economic security, or even sovereignty. In addition to the resilience of access to data, one of the challenges of decentralized storage lies in the elimination of the centralization of storage in the hands of a small group of actors, towards a very large number of actors. having no possibility of monopoly or scrutiny over the data they store.

Many definitions exist to more or less precisely define decentralized storage. To put it simply, let’s remember that decentralized storage is a system that shares the conservation of computer data between many independent operators.

Together, these independent operators form a sort of peer-to-peer storage network where data exchanges (storage and retrieval) can take place directly between different computers connected to the system, without passing through a central server. Operating in a network as well as encrypting data complicates and drastically reduces the risk of attack . Attacking a single operator is possible, attacking a network that has thousands of them is also possible, but technically and economically much more difficult to support.

The reliability and security of this type of storage are directly correlated with the number of operators using the network. By multiplying the number of operators, a decentralized storage network allows economies of scale by allowing anyone (companies or individuals) to participate as a storage provider (host) while monetizing their free space on their disk. hard.

How does it work?

A kind of infrastructure as a service (IaaS) of cloud computing , decentralized storage networks rely heavily on blockchain technology, an essential condition for their security, reliability and autonomy. Concretely, this is one of the methods of using a decentralized network.

When a user (tenant) wishes to store files online in a decentralized manner, he must use the services of an organization (company, foundation, association) of decentralized storage . This will provide it with software (generally open source) to access a decentralized network. This software will proceed to its “anonymization” (even if in certain cases the term “pseudonymization” would be more appropriate) , then will create different segments (or fragments) of its files before they are uploaded to the network.

These segments are encrypted and copied many times (redundancy), then distributed randomly to different hosts. This distribution over the host network is governed by smart contracts which set prices, availability commitments, and other aspects of the relationship between tenants and hosts. These smart contracts are then executed on the blockchain of the network supported by the decentralized storage organization . This allows the traceability and validation of segments of tenant files.

Based on blockchain technology, smart contracts are automatically generated and applied on the network. To execute, smart contracts need proof validated by the blockchain . For example, smart contracts may require proof of storage (proof of storage), of space (proof of space), of conservation (PoH), of service (PoSe), of space-time (proof of spacetime), replication (proof of replication), etc. These methods do not require any intermediary to function. If proof appears on the blockchain within a certain period of time, the hosts are automatically paid. Otherwise, the host is penalized.

When a tenant wants to access their files, they request it from the network which can use distributed hash tables to locate all segments and put them together. The tenant who downloads them has his own private key to validate ownership. Redundancy (multiplication of segments) makes it possible to completely recover a user’s original file with only a few segments (in a peer-to-peer fashion, without going through a central server). A guarantee of resilience, this means that even if one or more network operators are offline, data access is still possible.

As cidades chinesas continuam a promover o yuan digital através de loterias festivas

A cidade de Shenzhen lançou a terceira rodada de seu banco central piloto de moeda digital, na forma de um esquema de loteria promocional que oferece aos residentes esmolas durante as festividades locais.

Os residentes do distrito de Longhua na cidade chinesa de Shenzhen terão a oportunidade de participar de um próximo evento de loteria que visa incentivar a adoção da nova Bitcoin Era moeda digital do banco central do país – conhecida alternativamente como DC/EP, renminbi digital, ou yuan digital.

Anunciado em 20 de janeiro, a loteria está programada para 26 de janeiro, quando serão sorteados lotes para selecionar os 100.000 ganhadores que receberão um pacote festivo „envelope vermelho“ contendo 200 yuan ($31) em DC/EP. A moeda total emitida e distribuída para o evento será, portanto, de 20 milhões de yuans ($3,1 milhões) em valor.

Duas estipulações foram estabelecidas para aqueles residentes que desejam participar da loteria: eles devem ter adquirido seguro social das entidades comerciais para as quais trabalham e ter planos definidos para permanecer na cidade durante o próximo feriado de Ano Novo Lunar, também conhecido como o Festival da Primavera.

Estas condições limitando a loteria aos empregados das entidades comerciais participantes tornam esta rodada ligeiramente diferente dos dois sorteios promocionais anteriores do „envelope vermelho“ que foram realizados em dois outros distritos da cidade de Shenzhen: no distrito de Luoho em outubro de 2020 e no distrito de Futian em janeiro de 2021.

Assim como nos esquemas anteriores, a moeda presenteada será gasta em comerciantes selecionados que já se inscreveram no sistema digital yuan – 35.000 comerciantes no total – durante um período de uma semana entre 1 e 9 de fevereiro.

Os participantes vencedores não poderão transferir seu envelope vermelho para um terceiro

No anúncio do esquema, a mídia local apresenta o evento como parte dos pilotos atuais da nova moeda, como um meio de promover sua adoção e como uma forma de incentivar os funcionários de Shenzhen a permanecerem na cidade para o festival de Ano Novo Lunar como parte das medidas de controle da epidemia da COVID-19.

Como noticiado, os pilotos de loteria anteriores foram considerados bem-sucedidos, com a grande maioria dos participantes recebendo e gastando com sucesso seus envelopes vermelhos de moeda digital. Seguindo um esquema piloto de configuração ligeiramente diferente que foi realizado na cidade de Suzhou no ano passado, os comerciantes de comércio eletrônico também relataram um volume significativo de transações usando o yuan digital.

Na semana passada, o Banco Agrícola Estatal da China lançou os primeiros caixas eletrônicos de yuan digitais no país com o objetivo de orientar os cidadãos na conversão de e para a moeda digital.

Traders with too much leverage become victims of volatility again. $ 190 million was liquidated in minutes.

Bitcoin ( BTC ) slumped to $ 27,700 and rebounded seconds later, shocking some and financial ruin for others, data shows.

According to the on-chain analysis website Glassnode futures traders with long positions have a total of US $ 190 million alone on Binance in just one hour lost – more than ever before.

An exchange, 60 minutes, $ 190 million

These numbers underscore the current behavior of Bitcoin Up, which is orbiting new all-time highs and, along with ether ( ETH ), is considered the hottest asset of 2021 .

Long positions had seen almost unbridled growth for most of December into the new year. The upward movement met with little resistance.

Despite warnings from various analysts that the bull market could not last forever, many traders took a high risk and bet on further new highs. In this case, $ 34,800 was a definite spike. Then, within 24 hours, the BTC / USD pair dropped to $ 7,000. It even fell by $ 4,000 in an hour .

The result for those who had too much leverage was clear to see.

„190,000,000 US dollars (in long positions) were liquidated on #Binance within 10 minutes. Largest value so far,“ as Glassnode commented on a graph showing the Binance liquidations.

Risk versus reward

As Cointelegraph reported , short positions were liquidated en masse in the past week when Bitcoin broke the $ 30,000 mark for the first time. As a result, short sellers lost a total of $ 100 million on all exchanges.

„Get used to declines of $ 5,000 when we get into $ 100,000. That comes with the range,“ said Samson Mow, strategy director at Bitcoin technology firm Blockstream, summarizing on Twitter.

Trading in derivatives, which are linked to Bitcoin and Ether, continues to be extremely popular. The CME Group, one of the pioneers in Bitcoin futures, will introduce Ether futures in the first quarter of this year .

Wages at Bitcoin could become a reality in 2021. Already the first cases are flourishing in the sports world.

The first step in this new stage of usability of digital coins was recently announced. It is the elite sportsman Russel Okung, who is part of a prestigious NFL football club.

The Carolina Panthers‘ Offensive Tackle has been expressing its sympathy for cryptology for quite some time. In fact, for two years now, he has asked on Twitter for his salary to be paid in Bitcoin. Now, his dream has come true, and 50% of his income will be received in this digital currency.

How did Bitcoin wake up in 2021?
Okung case could extend the demand for Bitcoin salaries
The important thing about this is that Bitcoin, thanks to the current bull run that seems unstoppable, could be massed by leaps and bounds in 2021. That way, a growing number of athletes, could follow Okung’s example and demand their professional salaries at Bitcoin.

One of the main banners of the cryptomonger’s followers is that they come to replace money. The reason for this is that fiat money, they say, is a source of corruption and power for centralised bodies, including banks and governments.

This is what the American sportsman said. „The way money is used, from creation to diffusion, is part of power. Getting paid at Bitcoin is the first step out of the corrupt and manipulated economy we all inhabit,“ he said.

But beyond the philosophical issue, to which Okung is closely committed, are the economic advantages of Bitcoin. Less than six months ago, its price was about USD 10,000. Now, at the time of writing, it is over $32,000. This is a compelling argument for other athletes to want their salaries at Bitcoin as well.

However, it is noted that the club’s board does not make payments to the player directly in the cryptomoney. It does so through a payment platform called Strike, reported CNBC. In this way the problem is solved.

This platform, in parallel, would have already begun to work with other sports clubs such as the New York Yankees and the Brooklyn Nets. Analyst Chris Matta, consulted by CNBC, said that Okung’s move „gives Bitcoin more credibility“.

In this way, he explains, more athletes from different professional disciplines could be receiving their salaries at Bitcoin. This is no longer a distant dream, but a possibility that could take shape in 2021.

Facts to consider
For the first time, an elite athlete from the United States will receive his professional payments in cryptomonies.
This is an achievement that Russell Okung has been fighting for for more than two years.
With this conquest of the offensive liner of the Carolina Panthers, more sportsmen could be encouraged to receive their salaries in Bitcoin.
Other New York Yankees and Brooklyn Nets professionals would also be taking steps to emulate Okung.

L’interesse istituzionale per Bitcoin potrebbe aver portato a nuovi massimi, ma i miner sono sempre emersi come i principali fautori dei rialzi dei prezzi di Bitcoin. Questo è stato il caso nel 2017 e nel 2020, ci sono stati alcuni segnali dal coinvolgimento dei minatori nel rialzo dei prezzi.

Il deflusso di Bitcoin Miner è sceso di oltre il 68% da novembre 2020 e sempre più miner stanno scegliendo di mantenere il proprio Bitcoin, anche al livello di prezzo attuale

Sulla base dei dati di Glassnode, l’offerta attiva è aumentata rapidamente considerando il fatto che quasi il 97% dei portafogli Bitcoin Era è redditizio. L’aspettativa è che la pressione di vendita aumenterà, tuttavia, i minatori potrebbero non aver risposto allo stesso da ora.

Questo significa che i minatori stanno aspettando una maggiore redditività? I minatori si erano dati da fare per la maggior parte di settembre e ottobre 2020, mettendosi in fila per i profitti nel novembre 2020. Questo è stato un altro motivo per un aumento dell’offerta alle borse e per l’aumento delle riserve valutarie. Le riserve sono aumentate nel novembre 2020, ma molto prima di raggiungere i livelli precedenti, l’offerta più recente è stata ritirata dalle borse.

Un altro parametro che è fondamentale per l’attività mineraria, ma nel complesso meno popolare è il Total Miner Outflow [TMO].

Perché i minatori non scaricano Bitcoin anche al di sopra di $ 23000

Sulla base dei dati del grafico sopra, il deflusso totale dei minatori è ancora al livello medio, molto inferiore alla precedente corsa al rialzo. Nel 2017 e all’inizio del 2018, il deflusso di minatori è stato molto più elevato, è notevolmente diminuito nell’arco di 12 mesi. Durante il rally dei prezzi del 2019, con un breve aumento del prezzo, c’è stata un’altra impennata nel deflusso di minatori e l’attuale rally dei prezzi deve ancora registrare un aumento del TMO.

I minatori stanno attraversando l’attuale livello dei prezzi, anticipando ulteriori scoperte di prezzo sopra $ 24200, e una volta che il deflusso inizia ad aumentare, è un segno per i commercianti al dettaglio di guardare da vicino i grafici dei prezzi. Proprio come l’attuale rally dei prezzi non ha registrato picchi sulla volatilità dei prezzi di Bitcoin e sullo slancio della rete, non ha ancora mostrato un aumento nelle metriche dei minatori. Il livello di prezzo attorno al quale TMO inizia ad aumentare, più vicino al livello del 2017, potrebbe essere il nuovo ATH per alcuni mesi a meno che un’ulteriore attività istituzionale o regolamentazione non determini bruschi cambiamenti nel ciclo di mercato di Bitcoin .

Noted billionaire Mark Cuban doesn’t consider BTC a reliable asset: „A banana has more utility, potassium is a valuable nutrient for every person on the planet“

Mark Cuban, a billionaire known in the crypto community for claiming that bananas are a better medium of exchange than Bitcoin, has reiterated his negative opinion of the asset, claiming that it is more like a collectible than a real financial instrument.

The year 2020 has been an incredible year for Bitcoin (BTC) adoption. The likes of MicroStrategy and Grayscale have significantly increased their holdings in cryptocurrencies – even staunch supporters of traditional finance, such as CNBC’s Jim Cramer, have changed their minds about owning digital assets. Nevertheless, Bitcoin continues to have its detractors.

In a recent interview with Forbes, Mark Cuban stated that crypto users should not consider Bitcoin „a hedge against doomsday scenarios.“ In his opinion, the asset is unlikely to replace cash in the near future:

„Bitcoin is a store of value like gold, which is more of a religion than a real solution to a problem. Countries will take measures to protect their currencies and their ability to tax the population.

Therefore, the more people start to believe that this thing is more than just a store of value, the greater the risk of government intervention.“

Cuban made these comments when the price of Bitcoin was below $19,000. Since then, the asset has reached new all-time highs, managing to break through the $20,000 wall: it currently hovers around $23,000.

According to the billionaire, physical assets like bananas offer more benefits than Bitcoin. Nonetheless, he admitted that it is an „investable asset.“

„A banana has more utility, potassium is a valuable nutrient for every person on the planet. But as long as people accept Bitcoin as the digital version of gold, you can invest in it.“

Mark Cuban has an estimated net worth of $4.2 billion. In August 2019, he disclosed that he owned only $130 in Bitcoin.

• Bitcoin è attualmente in fase di consolidamento come toro e orso in battaglia per il controllo delle sue prospettive a breve termine
• Dove l’andamento della crittovaluta a medio termine dipenderà probabilmente dal fatto che i tori possano o meno spingerla ancora una volta al di sopra dei 19.000 dollari, dato che questo è stato un livello fondamentale per BTC
• Un’intensa attività di trading qui sotto potrebbe aprire le porte a gravi perdite, ma molti fattori stanno tutti lavorando pesantemente a favore della crittovaluta.
• Un trader ritiene che il canale di consolidamento di BTC stia per esaurirsi, il che potrebbe significare che è imminente una massiccia spinta verso l’alto
• Affinché ciò si realizzi, il crypto deve continuare il suo modello di impostazione dei valori più alti-bassi

Il Bitcoin è stato sorpreso da un’intensa attività di trading laterale nelle ultime due settimane.

Questo è dovuto al fatto che la resistenza della regione superiore a 19.000$ rimane piuttosto intensa, mentre la pressione di acquisto nella regione a metà dei 18.000$ continua a mantenersi forte.

La sua fase di consolidamento si sta restringendo molto ultimamente, il che è un segnale che può indicare l’imminenza di un movimento massiccio nel prossimo futuro.

Un trader ritiene che un movimento massiccio sia imminente nel breve termine, dato che il canale della cripto-valuta si sta rapidamente restringendo.

BITCOIN LOTTA PER TENERE AL DI SOPRA DEI 19.000 DOLLARI MENTRE LA VENDITA AUMENTA LA PRESSIONE

Al momento della scrittura, Bitcoin Trader è in calo di poco meno del 2% al suo attuale prezzo di 18.900 dollari. Nel giro di una notte, la cripto-valuta è scesa fino a 18.600 dollari prima di trovare un supporto massiccio che ha contribuito a spingerla più in alto.

Il fatto che ci sia un supporto in questo caso è abbastanza rialzista e può indicare che il rialzo è imminente nel prossimo futuro. Tuttavia, la resistenza a 19.000 dollari è abbastanza forte, e capovolgere questo livello di supporto si è rivelato un compito impegnativo.

IL CANALE DI CONSOLIDAMENTO DELLA BTC STA „FINENDO IL SUO SPAZIO“

Un trader ha spiegato in un recente tweet che il canale di consolidamento di Bitcoin sta finendo il suo spazio, il che potrebbe significare che una massiccia volatilità è proprio dietro l’angolo.

Egli osserva che BTC rimarrà in questo canale finché continuerà a vedere alti e bassi più bassi. Questa tendenza non può durare a lungo.

„BTC continua ad affinare questo intervallo di consolidamento… alti più bassi, bassi più alti, alla fine non abbiamo più spazio“.

In quale direzione la Bitcoin si interromperà una volta terminata questa fase di consolidamento, probabilmente stabilirà il tono per il suo futuro trend a medio termine.